Middle East market declines as index is adjusted

18 January 2011

New methodology produces more accurate Gulf Projects Index, which results in an overall market dip

Contract awards 19 January 2011

Biggest contract: $201m

Awarded to the US’ West Atlas International for oil field services in Kuwait

$585m: Value of major contract awards

4: Number of contracts awarded

For further information visit www.meed.com/contracts

Since 2008, the GCC projects market has been distorted by several real-estate megaprojects that are officially ongoing, but in reality have been brought to a halt by the credit crunch.

In order to reflect the true picture, MEED has this week adjusted its methodology for the Gulf Projects Index to more accurately capture the value of projects under way.

This one-off adjustment has led to a dip in the index, particularly in markets with high exposure to mega real-estate developments.

Upcoming tender deadlines
 ClientContractSubmission date
IraqElectricity MinistryFour independent power plantsmid-February
KuwaitKuwait UniversityCollege of Science and Faculty Club25 Jan
OmanTransport & Communications MinistryIn-flight catering facilities31 Jan
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Electricity CompanyQurayyah independent power project28 Feb
Saudi ArabiaSaudi AramcoKing Abdullah Sports City stadium14 Apr
For further information visit www.meed.com/tenders

As a result, on 19 January the Gulf Projects Index was $2.57 trillion, a fall of 2.3 per cent on the previous week. The reason for the bulk of the decrease was due to a 3.1 per cent fall in the total value of projects planned or under way in the GCC, which accounts for about 74 per cent of the Gulf projects market.

The UAE’s projects index was most affected by the change in the methodology, with the total value of major projects planned or under way declining by 8.2 per cent. The UAE also recorded the launch of seven new projects worth a total of $1.1bn.

Project updates this week 
 Project NameProject Status
IraqTaq Taq DamPrequalified
UAEAl-Bateen ParkConstruction
Saudi ArabiaJubail Polysilicon PlantConstruction
Saudi ArabiaRafha power plant extensionConstruction
KuwaitSulaibiya wastewater treatment plant expansionConstruction
For further information visit www.meed.com/meedprojects

The rest of the region’s projects markets remained relatively flat. In Saudi Arabia, 18 new projects worth a total of $11.4bn were launched. Three new projects worth $235m were launched in Kuwait, which included an estimated $100m office tower project for Kuwait Oil Company in the capital. In Oman, a new $100m road project joined the index.

As a result of the changes in methodology for megaprojects, the overall projects index is down by 7.5 per cent on the same period last year, with the GCC projects market recording a 15.9 per cent year-on-year fall. Iraq maintains its position as the region’s strongest growing market with a 74.5 per cent year-on-year increase.

A MEED Subscription...

Subscribe or upgrade your current MEED.com package to support your strategic planning with the MENA region’s best source of business information. Proceed to our online shop below to find out more about the features in each package.