IMF cautiously positive on Lebanese economy

06 March 2003
The IMF on 4 March released a preliminary report on the Lebanese economy, expressing cautious satisfaction with the direction of movement. The Paris II donors' conference in November last year, when international donors pledged $4,400 million in concessioanry loans, had created and reflected a climate of increased international confidence in the economy. 'This improvement is evidenced by strong inflows of deposits into the banking system, lower dollarisation, a marked decline in interest rates and market spreads, a surplus in the balance of payments and a substantial further recovery of foreign exchange reserves by the central bank,' said the study. However, it warned that for the central economic problem - the enormous public debt - to be tackled, privatisation would have to move forward and solid economic growth maintained. The delay in the auction of the two GSM licences was noted. The IMF is providing technical assistance to Beirut on managing the debt.

On 5 March, Banque du Liban (central bank) announced figures for the total debt at the end of 2002, which rose 9 per cent from the end of 2001 to £Leb 44.3 trillion ($29,360 million). The IMF forecasts that the debt will fall to $25,400 million by 2007. It forecasts gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 2 per cent in 2003.

A MEED Subscription...

Subscribe or upgrade your current MEED.com package to support your strategic planning with the MENA region’s best source of business information. Proceed to our online shop below to find out more about the features in each package.