With smaller oil reserves and a much higher budget breakeven oil price, Oman is more vulnerable to low crude prices than the four biggest GCC economies, but stands in a far stronger position than Bahrain
Moodys rating A1
IMF budget breakeven oil price for 2014 $101.6
Size of project market $154.5bn
Key number: Public debt is less than 10 %
Ahead of the 2015 budget announcement, officials have said spending would be at around the same level as 2014 or marginally higher. Last years spending plan was set at RO13.5bn ($35.1bn), 5 per cent higher than in 2012.
Omans Minister for Financial Affairs Darwish al-Balushi has said cuts are likely in some areas, but spending will continue as planned on infrastructure projects as the country looks to diversify its economy and reduce its reliance on hydrocarbon revenues.
Oman can afford to run a fiscal deficit, given its low levels of government debt at less than 10 per cent of GDP, but I wont be surprised if we see some adjustment on the current spending side, says Steffen Dyck, senior analyst and vice-president at Moodys sovereign risk group.
Moodys ratings | ||
---|---|---|
Aaa | Rated as the highest quality and lowest credit risk. | Prime-1 Best ability to repay short-term debt |
Aa1 | Rated as high quality and very low credit risk. | |
Aa2 | ||
Aa3 | ||
A1 | Rated as upper-medium grade and low credit risk. | |
A2 | Prime-1/Prime-2 Best ability or high ability to repay short-term debt | |
A3 | ||
Baa1 | Rated as medium grade, with some speculative elements and moderate credit risk. | Prime-2 High ability to repay short term debt |
Baa2 | Prime-2/Prime-3 High ability or acceptable ability to repay short-term debt | |
Baa3 | Prime-3 Acceptable ability to repay short-term debt | |
Source: Moodys |
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